AP® Macroeconomics · Unit 5 · Topic 5.1

Tracing a Policy Action Across the Graphs

Tracing a policy action means following its effects through three linked graphs in order: the money or loanable funds market, investment, and AD-AS, so you see the full chain from policy tool to output and prices.

A single policy move never shows its whole story on one graph. The money market shows what happens to the interest rate first. Investment demand shows how firms react to that rate. AD-AS shows what the change in spending does to output and the price level. Each graph answers a different question, and the output of one graph is the input to the next, so skipping a step breaks the chain.

Take an open market sale: the Fed sells bonds, the money supply curve shifts left, and the equilibrium interest rate rises. Move to the investment graph: a higher interest rate makes borrowing more expensive, so planned investment falls. That drop in investment is a fall in a component of spending, so AD shifts left. On the AD-AS graph, the leftward shift lowers both real output and the price level, assuming SRAS is upward sloping. A fiscal action like a tax increase skips the money market entirely and starts straight at AD, through its effect on disposable income and consumption, but still finishes on the same AD-AS graph.

This matters because the size of the final effect on output versus price depends on where the economy sits on SRAS. Near full employment, SRAS is steep, so most of an AD shift shows up as a price change rather than an output change; far from full employment, SRAS is flatter, and more of the shift becomes real output. That same logic is what you will use next to judge how a policy's short-run gain in output trades off against inflation, and whether the long-run effect looks different once SRAS adjusts.

Key terms

Money market graph
Shows how money supply and money demand set the equilibrium nominal interest rate.
Investment demand
A downward-sloping relationship showing planned investment falls as the interest rate rises.
AD-AS model
Shows how aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply together determine real output and the price level.
SRAS slope
How steep short-run aggregate supply is near full employment, which determines how much of an AD shift becomes output versus price.
Multiplier
The factor 1/(1-MPC) by which an initial change in spending is amplified into a larger change in real GDP.

Watch it explained

  1. How it worksWalk me through an open market sale across the money market, investment, and AD-AS in order.
  2. Worked exampleFind the sign of the change in the interest rate, investment, AD, output, and prices after a tax increase.
  3. Going furtherWhat changes in that chain when the policy is fiscal rather than monetary?
  4. Common mistakeWhy doesn't a policy that raises output always raise the price level by the same proportion?

Check yourself

Your turn1 of 2
Two different expansionary policy actions each raise real GDP by the same dollar amount, but one raises the price level much more than the other. What could explain this difference?

End of topic.