AP® Macroeconomics · Unit 3 · Topic 3.3

What Shifts Short-Run Aggregate Supply

Short-run aggregate supply shifts when input costs, expected inflation, or productivity change, not when the price level changes. A leftward shift raises the price level and lowers output.

SRAS shows how much output firms supply at each price level, given the costs they're currently locked into. Nominal wages, contracts, and resource prices are sticky in the short run, so when something changes the cost of producing goods, every firm's willingness to supply at a given price changes too, and the whole curve shifts. An oil price spike raises costs for nearly every producer at once, so at the old price level firms can no longer profitably supply as much. The curve shifts left: less output offered at every price.

Walk through rising nominal wages. Wages are a major input cost, so a wage increase raises the cost of producing each unit of output. At the original price level, firms supply less, shifting SRAS left. Aggregate demand hasn't moved, so the new SRAS crosses it at a higher price level and lower real output, stagflation in miniature. Expected inflation works the same way: if workers and firms expect prices to rise, they bargain for higher wages and set higher prices now, raising costs before any price level change actually happens, which shifts SRAS left just like a cost shock.

This sits right next to the AD/AS equilibrium model and the output gap. SRAS shifts are what turn a short-run equilibrium into a recessionary or inflationary gap, and they are the reason fiscal policy sometimes targets supply rather than demand. The key distinction: price level changes move you along SRAS, since that's exactly what the curve plots; only cost or expectation changes shift it.

Key terms

Short-run aggregate supply (SRAS)
The quantity of total output firms supply at each price level while input costs stay fixed.
Supply shock
A sudden change in input costs, like an oil price spike, that shifts SRAS left or right.
Sticky wages
Nominal wages that adjust slowly, locking in firms' costs and making SRAS upward sloping in the short run.
Expected inflation
The inflation rate workers and firms anticipate, which they build into wages and prices in advance.
Stagflation
A combination of falling output and rising price level, typically caused by a leftward SRAS shift.

Watch it explained

  1. How it worksWalk me through a rise in nominal wages shifting SRAS and landing a new equilibrium.
  2. Going furtherWhat happens to SRAS when everyone starts expecting higher inflation next year?
  3. Common mistakeWhy doesn't a change in the price level itself shift the SRAS curve?
  4. Worked exampleFind what happens to output and the price level when SRAS shifts left by 400 billion.

Check yourself

Your turn1 of 2
Aggregate demand is fixed at Qd = 439 - 5P and short-run aggregate supply is Qs = 240 + 3P. If SRAS then shifts left by 24 billion at every price level, find the increase in the equilibrium price level, in index points.

End of topic.