AP® Statistics · Unit 4 · Topic 4.8
Justifying a Claim About Two Means
To justify a claim about two means, look at whether zero is inside the confidence interval for mu1 - mu2. If zero is excluded, the interval supports a real difference; if zero is included, you can't conclude the means differ.
A confidence interval for mu1 - mu2 is a range of plausible values for the true difference between two population means. Zero plays a special role: it stands for 'no difference at all.' If zero falls inside the interval, no difference is one of the plausible values, so you cannot claim the two means are different. If the whole interval sits on one side of zero, every plausible value says the means differ, and in the same direction, so you can justify the claim.
The write-up follows a pattern: state what the interval is (a range for mu1 - mu2, built from sample data, at some confidence level), check where zero falls relative to it, then connect that back to the original claim in context. An interval of -1.4 to 6.8 contains zero, so you cannot conclude the means differ. An interval of 2.1 to 8.4 excludes zero and lies entirely above it, so you can conclude mu1 is larger than mu2, with the size of the effect somewhere between 2.1 and 8.4 units.
This sits right after building the interval itself, using a t-distribution because the population standard deviations are unknown. The interval does the estimating; 4.8 is the step where you turn that estimate into a verdict on the claim, the same logic used for proportions but now applied to averages and widened by the t rather than z critical value.
Key terms
- Confidence interval for mu1 - mu2
- A range of plausible values for the true difference between two population means, built from sample data.
- Plausible value
- Any number inside the confidence interval, consistent with the observed data at the chosen confidence level.
- t-distribution
- The distribution used instead of the normal curve when population standard deviations are unknown and estimated from samples.
- Width of an interval
- The upper bound minus the lower bound, showing how precise the estimate is.
Watch it explained
- How it worksWalk me through justifying a claim from an interval that runs -1.4 to 6.8.
- Worked exampleFind whether an interval of 2.1 to 8.4 supports the claim that a new method is faster.
- Common mistakeWhy doesn't zero sitting inside a mean-difference interval mean the two treatments work identically?
Check yourself
End of topic.